The upcoming week in the financial markets is poised to be centered around central banks, with key data releases and events influencing various currency pairs. Let's delve into the forecasts and potential trading opportunities for the major pairs.
USD Pairs: The focus on the US will be on flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs, Durable Goods Orders, GDP Growth Rate revision, and other crucial data. Strong fundamentals have been supporting the USD Index (DXY), and traders will closely watch the outcomes for potential impact on Fed rate cut expectations. A breach of the 2024 peak around 103.70 could be in play based on the results.
EUR/USD: In the Eurozone, attention turns to Consumer Confidence, PMIs in Germany and Euroland, and Business Climate gauge. EUR/USD has faced resistance around 1.0840, strengthened by the 200-day SMA. Traders will monitor these releases for potential breakout or consolidation patterns.
Central Bank
USD/JPY: Japan will release Balance of Trade figures, flash PMIs, and BoJ Minutes. USD/JPY maintained a bullish stance, reaching seven-week tops near 149.00. This pair remains in focus for potential continuation of the upward trend.
GBP/USD: In the UK, Public Sector finances, preliminary PMIs, and Consumer Confidence are key. GBP/USD closed the week with modest losses but within the 1.2600-1.2800 range. Traders will be watching for signals of a breakout from this consolidation.
AUD/USD: Australia will unveil flash PMIs and the Westpac Leading Index. AUD/USD, after a pessimistic start, saw a bounce in the latter part of the week. Traders will assess whether this marks the beginning of a near-term recovery or a temporary uptick.
Central Banks: The People's Bank of China (PBoC) is expected to trim its 1-Year and 5-Year LPR. No surprises are anticipated from the Bank of Japan (BoJ), Bank of Canada (BoC), and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM). The Norges Bank might consider a 25 bps rate hike, while the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain rates unchanged. Uncertainty lingers around the interest rate decision by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT).
Traders at Pipsoclock.com can strategize based on these insights, considering potential shifts in currency pairs and central bank actions. As always, thorough risk management is crucial in navigating the dynamic forex landscape.
Wishing you successful trades and impactful coaching sessions!
